cervicorn consulting

Biofuels Market (By Feedstock: Corn, Sugarcane, Vegetables Oils, Others; By Form: Solid Biofuels, Liquid Biofuels, Gaseous Biofuels, Other: By Generation: First Generation Biofuels (Conventional Biofuels), Second Generation Biofuels (Advanced Biofuels), Third Generation Biofuels (Algae Fuels); By Product: Biodiesel, Green Diesel, Ethanol, Others; By Application: Transportation, Aviation, Energy Generation, Others) - Global Industry Analysis, Size, Share, Growth, Trends, Regional Analysis And Forecast 2024 To 2033

Biofuels Market Size and Growth 2024 to 2033

The global biofuels market size was worth at USD 125.76 billion in 2023 and is forecasted to surpass around USD 246.19 billion by 2033 increasing from USD 134.50 billion in 2024, growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.2% from 2024 to 2033.

Biofuels Market Size 2024 to 2033

The biofuels market encompasses renewable fuels derived from biological sources, offering alternatives to traditional fossil fuels. Key biofuels include biodiesel, ethanol, and bio-jet fuels, sourced from feedstocks like corn, sugarcane, and vegetable oils. This market is driven by environmental concerns, energy security, and regulatory support for reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Increasing adoption in transportation, aviation, and energy generation sectors underscores its growing significance in sustainable energy solutions. Technological advancements in biofuel production, such as second and third-generation biofuels from non-food sources like algae and waste, further enhance market prospects, aiming to mitigate carbon footprints and promote global energy sustainability.

  • “Casterra has received a $440,000 (€411,000) purchase order from an existing customer, marking its entry into a new African country. This expansion underscores Casterra's position in the biofuel market, leveraging its unique supply of castor seeds. Yoash Zohar, CEO of Casterra, anticipates growth and strategic development in this emerging market segment”.
  • “The European Investment Bank (EIB) and Cepsa have agreed to a €285 million loan for constructing an advanced biofuels plant in Andalusia, Spain. Developed with Bio-Oils, the facility near La Rábida Energy Park will produce sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and renewable diesel (HVO) from organic waste.”
  • “Certas Energy has introduced the industry's inaugural HVO (hydrotreated vegetable oil) fleet balancing calculator. This tool enables fleet operators to determine the cost implications of blending HVO with conventional diesel, facilitating decarbonization efforts. HVO provides significant greenhouse gas emissions reductions, up to 90% over the product lifecycle, compared to traditional diesel”.

Report Highlights

  • North America has registered highest revenue share of 40% in 2023.
  • Latin America has captured revenue share 20% in 2023.
  • By form, liquid biofuels segment has held revenue share of 44% in 2023.
  • By product, ethanol segment has accounted revenue share of 26% in 2023.
  • By feedstock, others segment has dominated in 2023 with revenue share of 48% in 2023.
  • By application, transportation segment has accounted revenue share of 70% in 2023.

Biofuels Market Growth Factors

  • Environmental Regulations and Policies: Stringent regulations aimed at reducing carbon emissions drive demand for biofuels as cleaner alternatives to conventional fossil fuels. Government incentives and mandates promoting renewable energy sources further bolster market growth.
  • Technological Advancements: Continuous innovation in biofuel production processes, such as enzymatic hydrolysis and microbial fermentation, enhances efficiency and reduces production costs. Advancements in feedstock cultivation and conversion technologies expand biofuel availability and competitiveness.
  • Energy Security: Biofuels contribute to energy diversification and security by reducing dependence on imported fossil fuels. This aspect is particularly crucial for countries seeking to mitigate geopolitical risks and ensure stable energy supplies.
  • Market Expansion in Transportation: Increasing adoption of biofuels in the transportation sector, driven by mandates and consumer preference for sustainable fuels, accelerates market growth. Biofuels, such as ethanol blends in gasoline and biodiesel in diesel engines, are becoming mainstream alternatives.
  • Investment and Funding: Growing investments from both private and public sectors in biofuel research, infrastructure development, and commercial-scale production facilities support market expansion. Funding initiatives aimed at scaling up biofuel technologies and expanding market reach contribute to sustained growth and innovation in the industry.
  • Emergence of Sustainable Aviation Biofuels: There is a rising trend towards the development and adoption of sustainable aviation biofuels (bio-jet fuels) to reduce carbon emissions in the aviation sector. This trend is driven by regulatory pressures and airline commitments to achieve carbon neutrality.
  • Shift Towards Advanced Biofuels: The biofuels market is witnessing a shift towards advanced biofuels, including second and third-generation biofuels derived from non-food sources such as algae, agricultural residues, and waste oils. These biofuels offer higher energy efficiencies and lower carbon footprints compared to conventional biofuels.
  • Integration of Circular Economy Principles: Increasing focus on circular economy principles within the biofuels sector involves utilizing waste streams and by-products from biofuel production processes to enhance sustainability and economic viability.
  • Expansion in Emerging Markets: Opportunities exist for biofuel market expansion in emerging economies where there is growing energy demand and increasing governmental support for renewable energy initiatives.
  • Biorefinery Development: Investing in integrated biorefineries that produce a range of bio-based products alongside biofuels presents an opportunity to diversify revenue streams and enhance overall economic viability of biofuel production.

Report Scope

Area of Focus Details
Market size in 2023 USD 125.76 Billion
Market size in 2033 USD 134.50 Billion
Market Growth Rate CAGR of 9.2% from 2024 to 2033
Largest Region North America
Fastest Growing Region Asia-Pacific
Segment Covered By Feedstock, Form, Generation, Product, Application, Region

Biofuels Market Dynamics

Drivers

Volatility in Crude Oil Prices:

  • Fluctuations in global crude oil prices significantly impact biofuels competitiveness and market demand. During periods of high oil prices, biofuels become more attractive as cost-effective alternatives, driving increased adoption and production. Conversely, stable or lower oil prices can pose challenges, affecting biofuels' economic viability and market growth strategies.

Consumer Awareness and Demand:

  • Growing consumer awareness and demand for sustainable and renewable energy sources drive market growth. Increased environmental consciousness among consumers, coupled with preferences for cleaner fuels, incentivizes governments and industries to invest in biofuels infrastructure and technologies. Consumer demand also pushes for policy support and incentives that promote biofuels adoption and development across various sectors, contributing to market expansion and innovation.

Restraints

Feedstock Availability and Competition:

  • Limited availability and competition for feedstocks such as corn, sugarcane, and vegetable oils can constrain biofuels production scalability. Price fluctuations and supply chain disruptions in agricultural commodities can affect biofuels' cost-effectiveness and production stability.

Infrastructure and Distribution Challenges:

  • The biofuels market faces infrastructure limitations and distribution challenges, including inadequate storage facilities, blending infrastructure, and transportation networks. These constraints can hinder the widespread adoption and market penetration of biofuels, particularly in regions where fossil fuel infrastructure dominates and investment in biofuels infrastructure is lacking.

Opportunities

Technological Advancements in Conversion Processes:

  • Ongoing advancements in biofuels production technologies, such as improved enzymatic hydrolysis and fermentation processes, present opportunities to enhance efficiency, reduce costs, and expand the range of feedstocks used. Innovations in biofuel conversion methods could unlock new sources of biomass and improve overall biofuels' competitiveness.

Policy Support and Incentives:

  • Increasing government support through policies, incentives, and subsidies aimed at promoting renewable energy sources, including biofuels, provides significant growth opportunities. Fiscal incentives for biofuels production, renewable fuel standards (RFS), and carbon pricing mechanisms encourage investment in biofuels infrastructure and stimulate market demand, fostering a conducive environment for industry expansion and innovation.

Challenges

Land Use and Food Security Concerns:

  • The use of agricultural land for biofuel feedstock production raises concerns about competition with food crops, potentially impacting food security and driving up food prices. Balancing biofuels production with food production needs careful management to mitigate these risks and ensure sustainable land use practices.

Technological and Economic Viability:

  • Despite advancements, some biofuel technologies still face challenges in achieving economic competitiveness with conventional fossil fuels. High production costs, including feedstock procurement and processing expenses, pose barriers to wider adoption and profitability in the biofuels sector. Achieving cost-effective production remains critical for biofuels to become a viable long-term alternative to traditional fuels.

Biofuels Market Segmental Analysis

By Feedstock

Corn: Corn is a primary feedstock for biofuel production, especially ethanol. Corn-based ethanol dominates the U.S. biofuel market due to its abundance and established agricultural infrastructure. Trends indicate a growing shift towards genetically modified varieties to increase yields and efficiency. Despite debates over its sustainability and impact on food prices, technological advancements aim to enhance its eco-friendliness and energy output.

Sugarcane: Sugarcane is a vital feedstock for ethanol production, particularly in Brazil, where it serves as a key biofuel source. The high sugar content and efficient conversion process make it economically viable. Trends show an increasing adoption of advanced agricultural techniques and biotechnologies to boost yields and reduce environmental impact, aligning with global efforts to promote renewable energy and reduce carbon footprints.

Vegetable Oils: Vegetable oils, including palm, soybean, and canola oil, are crucial for biodiesel production. They offer a renewable alternative to fossil fuels with relatively high energy content. Trends in this sector focus on sustainable sourcing and reducing deforestation linked to oil production. Innovations in second-generation biofuels and waste oil recycling are emerging to improve sustainability and reduce competition with food resources.

Others: Other segment has dominated the market with revenue share of 48% in 2023. Other feedstocks for biofuel production include algae, agricultural residues, and municipal waste. These sources offer diverse advantages, such as high yield per acre for algae and waste reduction for residues. Trends highlight increasing research and development in converting non-food biomass to biofuels, aiming for higher efficiency and sustainability. These alternatives are gaining attention as part of a broader strategy to diversify energy sources and mitigate climate change impacts.

Form Analysis

Solid Biofuels: The solid biofuels segment has captured market share of 20% in 2023. Solid biofuels, such as wood pellets, agricultural residues, and organic waste, are renewable energy sources used for heating and power generation. These fuels are gaining popularity due to their carbon neutrality and cost-effectiveness. The market is expanding as advancements in processing technologies and increasing environmental regulations drive demand for cleaner energy alternatives.

Liquid Biofuels: The liquid biofuels segment has dominated the market with highest revenue share of 44% in 2023. Liquid biofuels, like biodiesel and ethanol, are produced from crops, waste oils, and algae. They serve as renewable substitutes for petroleum-based fuels in transportation. The market is growing due to government mandates, technological innovations, and rising interest in sustainable practices, aiming to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and reliance on fossil fuels.

Biofuels Market Share, By Form, 2023 (%)

Gaseous Biofuels: Gaseous biofuels, including biogas and biomethane, are derived from organic matter through anaerobic digestion. These fuels are used for heating, electricity, and as vehicle fuel. The market is expanding due to increasing investment in renewable energy infrastructure, waste management solutions, and policies promoting carbon neutrality.

Other Biofuels: Other biofuels include advanced biofuels like biohydrogen and algae-based fuels, representing the next generation of renewable energy sources. These fuels have the potential for higher efficiency and lower environmental impact. The market for these advanced biofuels is emerging, driven by research and development efforts and the quest for sustainable, low-carbon energy alternatives.

Generation Analysis

First Generation Biofuels (Conventional Biofuels): First Generation Biofuels are derived from food crops such as corn, sugarcane, and soybeans. They include ethanol and biodiesel and are produced through conventional fermentation and transesterification processes. Despite their popularity, they raise concerns about food security and land use. The biofuels market sees a steady demand for these fuels, driven by renewable energy policies and blending mandates, though growth is constrained by sustainability issues.

Second Generation Biofuels (Advanced Biofuels): Second Generation Biofuels are produced from non-food biomass, including agricultural residues, wood chips, and energy crops. These advanced biofuels use more complex processing technologies like gasification and fermentation. They offer improved sustainability over first-generation biofuels, addressing food vs. fuel debates. The market trend shows increasing investments and research, aiming to enhance efficiency and lower costs, with significant interest from both governments and private sectors.

Third Generation Biofuels (Algae Fuels): Third Generation Biofuels are derived from algae, which can be grown in various environments and have high oil content. These biofuels offer potential for higher yields and lower environmental impact. The market for algae fuels is emerging, driven by advancements in cultivation and extraction technologies. Trends indicate growing interest in algae biofuels due to their scalability and minimal competition with food crops, although commercialization is still in its nascent stages.

Product Analysis

Biodiesel: This segment has captured 20% revenue share in 2023. Biodiesel is a renewable fuel made from biomass materials, such as vegetable oils or animal fats, through a process called transesterification. It can be used in diesel engines with little or no modifications. The biodiesel market is growing due to increasing demand for sustainable energy, government mandates for cleaner fuels, and technological advancements in production. There's a notable shift towards using non-food feedstocks to enhance sustainability.

Biofuels Market Share, By Product, 2023 (%)

Green Diesel: Green diesel, also known as renewable diesel, is produced through hydrotreating plant oils or animal fats. Unlike biodiesel, it is chemically similar to petroleum diesel and can fully replace it in engines. Green diesel is gaining popularity for its compatibility with existing diesel infrastructure and engines. Investments in advanced refining technologies and increased governmental support for low-carbon fuels are driving market expansion.

Ethanol: The ethanol segment has accounted market share of 26% in 2023. Ethanol is a renewable fuel made primarily from corn or sugarcane through fermentation. It is commonly blended with gasoline to increase octane levels and reduce emissions. Ethanol's market is expanding due to renewable fuel mandates and its role in reducing greenhouse gas emissions. Innovations in cellulosic ethanol, derived from non-food plant materials, are also contributing to market growth.

Wood Pellets: The wood pellets segment has held market share of 24% in 2023. Wood pellets are a type of biomass fuel made from compressed sawdust or other wood waste. They are used primarily for heating and electricity generation. The demand for wood pellets is increasing due to their use in renewable energy production, particularly in Europe. Sustainable forest management practices and advancements in pellet production technology are supporting market growth.

Aviation Biofuel (Bio-jet Fuel): Aviation biofuel, or bio-jet fuel, is a sustainable alternative to conventional jet fuel, produced from biomass feedstocks such as algae, plant oils, or waste materials. The aviation biofuel market is driven by the aviation industry's commitment to reducing carbon emissions. Research and development in feedstock diversity and production processes are enhancing the viability and scalability of bio-jet fuel.

Biomethane: Biomethane is a renewable natural gas produced from organic materials like agricultural waste, manure, and food waste through anaerobic digestion or gasification. The biomethane market is expanding due to its role in reducing methane emissions and providing a renewable energy source. Policies promoting waste-to-energy solutions and advancements in purification technologies are boosting market growth.

Syngas: Syngas, or synthesis gas, is a mixture of hydrogen, carbon monoxide, and carbon dioxide produced from gasifying biomass or waste materials. It is used as a fuel or as an intermediate for producing chemicals. The syngas market is growing due to its versatility in generating electricity, heat, and synthetic fuels. Innovations in gasification technology and increased focus on waste-to-energy solutions are key drivers.

Green Hydrogen: Green hydrogen is produced through electrolysis of water using renewable energy sources like wind or solar power. It is a clean fuel that emits only water when used. Green hydrogen is gaining traction as a key component in the transition to a low-carbon economy. Investments in electrolyzer technology and large-scale production projects are driving market expansion.

Others: Other biofuels include advanced biofuels like bio-oil, biobutanol, and renewable natural gas (RNG), produced from diverse biomass sources and innovative conversion technologies. The market for other biofuels is characterized by ongoing research and development to improve efficiency, reduce costs, and enhance sustainability. Supportive policies and growing environmental concerns are fostering growth in this segment.

Application Analysis

Transportation: The transportation segment has measured highest revenue share of 70% in 2023. Biofuels are widely used in transportation as an alternative to traditional fossil fuels. They reduce greenhouse gas emissions and dependency on oil imports. Recent trends highlight the growing adoption of biodiesel and ethanol blends in vehicles, driven by environmental regulations and technological advancements. The push for sustainable mobility and the development of advanced biofuels, such as algae-based fuels, are shaping the future of biofuels in transportation.

Aviation: In aviation, biofuels are being explored to decrease the industry's carbon footprint. Sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs), derived from biomass, are gaining traction. Recent trends include increased investments in bio-refineries and partnerships between airlines and biofuel producers. Innovations in feedstock, such as waste oils and agricultural residues, are being researched to make biofuels more economically viable and environmentally friendly for the aviation sector.

Energy Generation: Biofuels play a significant role in energy generation, providing a renewable source of power. They are used in biopower plants to produce electricity and heat. Current trends focus on integrating biofuels with other renewable energy sources, like wind and solar, to enhance grid stability. Advances in biomass conversion technologies and government incentives are propelling the adoption of biofuels in the energy sector, promoting a cleaner energy mix.

Heating: Biofuels are utilized for residential and industrial heating, offering a sustainable alternative to conventional heating fuels. Trends indicate a rise in the use of bio-oil, biogas, and pelletized biomass for heating purposes. Innovations in heating technologies, such as more efficient boilers and stoves, are improving the performance and cost-effectiveness of biofuels. Policy support and consumer awareness are key drivers in the increasing use of biofuels for heating.

Biofuels Market Regional Analysis

Why North America is dominating in the biofuels market?

The North America biofuels market size is expected to hit around USD 98.48% by 2033 and expanding at a CAGR of 6.98% over the forecast period, driven by strong regulatory support and mandates for renewable fuel standards. Trends indicate a growing investment in advanced biofuels, particularly cellulosic ethanol and algae-based fuels. The U.S. and Canada are focusing on increasing biofuel production capacities and improving feedstock supply chains. Innovations in genetic engineering and biotechnology are also enhancing the efficiency and yield of biofuel production in the region.

North America Biofuels Market Size 2024 to 2033

Europe Biofuels Market Trends

The Europe biofuels market is propelled by stringent environmental regulations and climate targets. The European Union's Renewable Energy Directive (RED) mandates significant use of biofuels in transportation. Trends include the development of advanced biofuels from waste and residue feedstocks, and a focus on reducing land-use impact. The region is also seeing increased collaboration among countries to create a unified market for biofuels, promoting cross-border trade and innovation.

Why Asia-Pacific region is experiencing rapid growth in the biofuels market?

The Asia-Pacific biofuels market size is calculated at USD 25.25 billion in 2024 and is expanding around USD 49.24 billion by 2033, experiencing rapid growth is driven by increasing energy demand and government initiatives to reduce carbon emissions. Trends highlight significant investments in biodiesel and bioethanol production, especially in countries like China, India, and Thailand. The region is focusing on utilizing agricultural residues and non-food crops for biofuel production to ensure food security and sustainability. Technological advancements in bio-refineries are also playing a crucial role in this growth.

Biofuels Market Share, By Region, 2023 (%)

LAMEA Biofuels Market Trends

In the LAMEA region, biofuels are gaining traction as a means to diversify energy sources and boost rural economies. Trends show a strong emphasis on ethanol production in Brazil, one of the world's largest producers, using sugarcane as a primary feedstock. In the Middle East and Africa, biofuel initiatives are emerging to address energy access and sustainability challenges. Innovations in biomass conversion technologies and regional collaborations are driving the biofuels market forward in LAMEA.

Biofuels Market Top Companies

  • Renewable Energy Group, Inc.
  • Neste Corporation
  • POET, LLC
  • Green Plains Inc.
  • Valero Energy Corporation
  • Royal Dutch Shell plc
  • Archer Daniels Midland Company
  • Amyris, Inc.
  • Gevo, Inc.
  • Aemetis, Inc.
  • Pacific Ethanol, Inc.
  • Solazyme, Inc. (now TerraVia)
  • Wilmar International Limited
  • Cargill, Incorporated
  • Cosan Limited

Emerging companies like Viridos Inc. and Fulcrum BioEnergy, Inc. are entering the biofuels market with innovative technologies. Viridos focuses on algae-based biofuels, while Fulcrum BioEnergy converts municipal solid waste into biofuels. These new players are leveraging advanced biotechnologies and sustainable feedstock to carve out their market niches. Renewable Energy Group, Inc., Neste Corporation, and POET, LLC dominate the biofuels market through large-scale production, extensive distribution networks, and continuous innovation. They lead in producing biodiesel and ethanol, benefiting from economies of scale, strong R&D investments, and strategic partnerships to maintain their competitive edge.

Recent Developments

  • In 2023, Petrobras is testing a B24 bio bunker fuel blend on a ship at the Rio Grande Terminal, chartered by Transpetro. The vessel will be fueled with 573,000 liters of this biofuel blend, aiming to enhance sustainable maritime operations.
  • In 2023, Neste and ITOCHU have signed a licensing agreement where ITOCHU will distribute Neste MY Renewable Diesel in Japan. This collaboration aims to enhance availability of sustainable fuel options in Japan, contributing to efforts in reducing carbon emissions in the region.
  • In 2023, Equilon Enterprises LLC, a Shell subsidiary, and Green Plains Inc. have partnered to integrate Shell Fiber Conversion Technology (SFCT) with Fluid Quip Technologies' processing tech. This collaboration aims to enhance Green Plains' biorefinery capabilities, potentially boosting efficiency and product diversification.
  • In 2023, LanzaJet has completed a construction milestone for its ethanol-based alcohol-to-jet sustainable aviation fuel production plant in Soperton, Georgia. Scheduled to commence commercial operations in 2024, it marks a significant step in advancing sustainable aviation fuel technologies.
  • In 2023, Green Plains Inc., United Airlines, and Tallgrass have formed Blue Blade Energy to develop Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF) using ethanol. The joint venture plans to build a pilot facility in 2024, with a full-scale operation potentially starting by 2028 pending successful trials.
  • In 2022, Cargill has inaugurated its first advanced biodiesel plant in Ghent, Belgium, converting waste oils and residues into renewable fuel. The facility aims to supply sustainable biodiesel for the maritime and trucking sectors, supporting efforts to mitigate carbon emissions in transportation activities.

Market Segmentation

By Feedstock

  • Corn
  • Sugarcane
  • Vegetables Oils
  • Others

By Form

  • Solid Biofuels
  • Liquid Biofuels
  • Gaseous Biofuels
  • Other

By Generation

  • First Generation Biofuels (Conventional Biofuels)
  • Second Generation Biofuels (Advanced Biofuels)
  • Third Generation Biofuels (Algae Fuels)

By Product

  • Biodiesel
  • Green Diesel
  • Ethanol
  • Wood Pellets
  • Aviation Biofuel (Bio-jet Fuel)
  • Biomethane
  • Syngas
  • Green Hydrogen
  • Others

By Application

  • Transportation
  • Aviation
  • Energy Generation
  • Heating
  • Others

By Region 

  • North America
  • APAC
  • Europe
  • LAMEA
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FAQ's

The global biofuels market size was estimated at USD 125.76 billion in 2023 and is foreseen to reach around USD 246.19 billion by 2033.

The global biofuels market is growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.2% from 2024 to 2033.

The top companies operating in the biofuels market are Renewable Energy Group, Inc., Neste Corporation, POET, LLC, Green Plains Inc., Valero Energy Corporation, Royal Dutch Shell plc, Archer Daniels Midland Company, Amyris, Inc., Gevo, Inc., Aemetis, Inc., and Pacific Ethanol, Inc..